Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.672354 0.772646 0.882143 1.010477 1.156689 1.318003 1.509402
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.569038 0.715199 0.888711 1.109505 1.382631 1.709054 2.128454
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.480069 0.655315 0.879977 1.188161 1.598946 2.126597 2.854746
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.411592 0.606679 0.875241 1.270058 1.833594 2.606610 3.744776
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.342965 0.543368 0.838282 1.300762 2.004135 3.029268 4.631243
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.295708 0.501012 0.822395 1.357317 2.219662 3.548035 5.739442
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.247085 0.446197 0.776678 1.358546 2.349323 3.956619 6.745437
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.213721 0.409643 0.753050 1.390052 2.530948 4.472064 7.999671
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.178453 0.362275 0.701813 1.363915 2.608367 4.823732 9.030276
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.160572 0.343676 0.698552 1.422926 2.845584 5.484435 10.698072
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.147182 0.331137 0.704171 1.498974 3.125433 6.260085 12.686152
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.130047 0.307246 0.682826 1.517204 3.294146 6.848150 14.398238
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.113452 0.281565 0.654071 1.516984 3.429354 7.397932 16.132337
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.099532 0.259132 0.628336 1.518919 3.569838 7.979485 18.019430
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.088166 0.240425 0.607604 1.528488 3.728769 8.622767 20.132249
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.080024 0.228095 0.599596 1.566450 3.958587 9.452525 22.773336
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.070595 0.210316 0.574981 1.559623 4.081521 10.059884 24.998479
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.064478 0.200283 0.568154 1.596402 4.316744 10.959294 28.030446
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.056781 0.184000 0.541817 1.577472 4.408235 11.528867 30.350967
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.051653 0.174226 0.531441 1.599919 4.611318 12.400357 33.538823
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.045076 0.158431 0.501027 1.560808 4.642526 12.842577 35.699685
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042375 0.154556 0.504852 1.621555 4.960710 14.072976 40.084289
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.040450 0.152863 0.515028 1.703228 5.351940 15.550932 45.329367